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2018北京公积金新政后二手房价又现松动_北京通州房价新爆点

发布时间:2018-11-01 11:50
在北京看了近一年的二手房后,肖冰终于下决心要去买限竞房了:“数据都在说北京二手房在降价,为什么我看的房子都在涨?”
 
After seeing the second-hand houses in Beijing for nearly a year, Xiao Bing finally made up his mind to buy the limited bidding houses. "The data are saying that the prices of the second-hand houses in Beijing are falling. Why do the houses I see are rising?"
 
 
 
 
 
这是过去一年她对市场最直观的感受:“同一个小区同样的户型,今年1月开价还是290万,这几天我再看,普遍已经挂到340万了。”
 
This is her most intuitive perception of the market over the past year: "The same residential area, the same type of apartment, this January prices or 2.9 million, I look at these days, generally has been hung to 3.4 million."
 
 
 
肖冰说的小区是位于朝阳区南二环方庄的10AM新坐标(26.900, -0.66, -2.39%),小区内有不少小面积公寓。相较于其他方位,南边房价相对较低,对于总价要求较低的单身女性而言,是一个较为理想的选择。
 
Xiao Bing said the district is located in Chaoyang District, South Second Ring Fangzhuang, the new coordinates of 10AM (26.900, - 0.66, - 2.39%), there are many small apartments. Compared with other locations, the southern side of the house price is relatively low, for single women with lower overall price requirements, is a more ideal choice.
 
 
 
本着货比三家的原则,肖冰在朝阳区看了多个小区,然而总价上涨成为普遍特征。“远洋天地二期,3月份去看房时中介说高楼层的85平方米成交价526万,最近再看挂牌,总价已经逼近600万。中海紫御公馆也差不多,小户型3月还是560万,10月已经卖到630万了。”
 
In line with the principle of goods comparison, Xiao Bing has seen several districts in Chaoyang District, but the rise in the total price has become a common feature. "Ocean Heaven and Earth Phase II, in March to see the house intermediary said 85 square meters of high-rise transaction price of 5.26 million, recently looked at the listing, the total price has approached 6 million. Zhonghai Purple Royal residence is also almost the same. The small apartment is still 5 million 600 thousand in March, and it has been sold to 6 million 300 thousand in October.
 
 
 
 
 
安居客的平均房价走势图显示,自2017年6月开始,10AM新坐标的房价呈现出“V”字型走势。去年6月,小区房价一度超过8万元/平方米,随后3个月出现明显下滑,但从今年3月起,平均房价再次出现缓步上升,到本月平均房价已经回到7.6万元/平方米的价位。相较而言,远洋天地和中海紫御公馆的走势则相对稳定。
 
The average house price trend chart shows that since June, 2017, the new 10AM coordinate housing prices show a "V" shaped trend. In June last year, housing prices in the residential quarters once exceeded 80,000 yuan per square meter, followed by a significant decline in the following three months, but since March this year, the average house prices have slowly risen again, to this month's average house prices have returned to 76,000 yuan per square meter. Comparatively speaking, the trend of ocean world and Zhonghai Purple Royal residence is relatively stable.
 
 
 
出现这一趋势的并不止这一个小区。安居客数据显示,丰台区大红门拥有超过万户居民的彩虹城小区,其一至五区从今年3月起,挂牌二手房价呈现斜拉上升走势;双井富力城各期社区二手房自今年3月到9月,平均成交价出现2000元—3000元/平方米的涨幅;海淀区大型小区世纪城,3月整体平均成交价为104498元/平方米,9月则达到106839元/平方米;天通苑9月二手房平均价达到42926元/平方米,比今年2月份低点时平均价格高出近5000元/平方米,仅比2017年3月峰值价格低1400元/平方米。
 
This trend is not the only one. Resident data show that Fengtai Dahongmen District has more than 10,000 residents of the Rainbow City District, the first to the Fifth District since March this year, listed second-hand housing prices show a skew-pull upward trend; Shuangjing Fuli City community second-hand housing from March to September this year, the average transaction price of 2,000-3,000 yuan per square meter of the increase; Haidian District large; The average transaction price in March was 104498 yuan / square meter, and in September it was 106 839 yuan / square meter. The average price of second-hand houses in Tiantongyuan in September reached 42 926 yuan / square meter, nearly 5,000 yuan / square meter higher than the average price at the low point in February this year, and only 1,400 yuan / square meter lower than the peak price in March 2017.
 
 
 
戴德梁行发布的前三季度报显示,到今年8月,北京全市二手房销售价达到59909元/平方米,较去年同期相比,涨幅为34.8元/平方米。与之形成对比的是新房销售价格从去年8月的44429元/平方米均价,下降至今年8月38387元/平方米,同比降幅17.8%。
 
According to the first three quarters report issued by Dai Deliang Bank, the selling price of second-hand houses in Beijing reached 59,909 yuan per square meter by August this year, an increase of 34.8 yuan per square meter compared with the same period last year. In contrast, the average selling price of new houses dropped from 44,429 yuan per square meter in August last year to 38,387 yuan per square meter in August this year, a 17.8% decrease over the same period last year.
 
 
 
北京各区来看,今年1—8月,密云、怀柔和昌平的二手房成交均价涨幅位于全市前三位,较同比高出40%,西城、海淀和丰台三区的价格涨幅也高于30%,十四区中只有顺义出现0.8%的平均降幅。
 
From January to August this year, the average price of second-hand houses in Miyun, Huairou and Changping were in the top three places in the city, 40% higher than the same period last year. The prices in Xicheng, Haidian and Fengtai also increased by more than 30%. Only Shunyi in the 14 districts showed an average decrease of 0.8%.
 
 
 
除了成交价格,成交量也在出现回升。链家数据显示,今年以来月均网签量为13532套,去年月均网签量11353套,前三季度二手房成交量同比增长27%,网签量增长9.4%。其中,西城区、海淀区和通州是成交量同比涨幅最为明显的区域,涨幅分别上升40%、40%和33%。
 
In addition to the transaction price, turnover is also rising. Chain house data show that this year's average monthly signature volume of 13532 sets, last year's average monthly signature volume of 11353 sets, the first three quarters of second-hand housing transactions increased 27% year-on-year, net signature volume growth of 9.4%. Among them, Xicheng District, Haidian District and Tongzhou are the most obvious areas of year-on-year turnover growth, up 40%, 40% and 33% respectively.
 
 
 
链家去年12月的二手房成交均价为58508元/平方米,今年9月均价则回到61829元/平方米。不过根据链家成交数据来看,去年年度均价为63885元/平方米,今年前9个月均价为61829元/平方米,出现小幅下降。
 
The average price of a second-hand house in December was 58508 yuan per square meter, while the average price in September was back to 61829 yuan per square meter. However, according to the data of the chain transaction, the average price last year was 63 885 yuan per square meter, and the average price in the first nine months of this year was 61 829 yuan per square meter, showing a slight decline.
 
 
 
国家统计局10月20日公布的北京今年9月新建商品住宅售价环比持平,同比上升0.4%。“今年下半年北京较多限竞房投入市场,这批房屋价格已有限制条件,所以新房市场价格下降明显。”戴德梁行北中国区主管魏东分析,限竞房普遍位置较为偏远户型雷同,适合刚需购房者:“但北京市场大部分还是改善型需求。”
 
On October 20, the National Bureau of Statistics announced that the price of new commercial housing in Beijing in September this year was flat, up 0.4% year on year. "In the second half of this year, Beijing more limited auction into the market, the prices of these houses have been restricted, so the new housing market prices dropped significantly." Wei Dong, director of Dai Deliang Xingbei China District, said that the limited competitive housing is generally located in remote units of the same type, suitable for those who just need to buy a house: "But most of the Beijing market is still improving demand."
 
 
 
数据显示,今年1—9月,北京全市二手房网签数量共计121785套,占二手房和新房总量的80.32%。不难看出,北京是典型的存量房市场,二手房交易占总成交量的绝大多数。
 
Data show that from January to September of this year, the number of second-hand housing network signatures in Beijing totaled 121785 sets, accounting for 80.32% of the total number of second-hand housing and new housing. It is not difficult to see that Beijing is a typical stock market, and secondary housing transactions account for the overwhelming majority of total turnover.
 
 
 
魏东认为,去年“3·17”政策之后,二手房交易量到年底都较为平稳,因此到今年出现一轮放量。另外去年北京调整学区划片后使得学区房热度一度下降,但经过了一年的消化期,今年重新出现反弹。
 
Wei Dong believes that after last year's "3.17" policy, second-hand housing transactions to the end of the year are relatively stable, so to this year there is a round of volume. In addition, last year, Beijing adjusted the division of the school district made the school district housing heat once dropped, but after a year of digestion, this year rebounded again.
 
 
 
贝壳研究院Real Data数据分析显示,今年9月均价较去年底出现的明显上涨,主要是由于西城、通州在去年的调控中受影响明显造成回落,因此今年回调幅度也较大,另外学区划片政策使得西城、海淀等学区较为集中的区域成交出现增长。
 
Real Data data analysis shows that the average price of Xicheng and Tongzhou increased markedly in September this year compared with the end of last year, mainly because Xicheng and Tongzhou were significantly affected in the regulation and control of last year, so this year's rebound rate is also larger. In addition, the policy of division of school districts makes Xicheng and Haidian districts more concentrated in the regional turnover. It is growing.
 
 
 
同时链家成交数据显示,进入9月,二手房成交价格出现小幅回落,成交量环比下降8.6%,均价环比下降2.2%,回温出现下降趋势。
 
At the same time, the chain home transaction data show that in September, the second-hand housing transaction prices showed a slight decline, turnover ring-on-ring decline of 8.6%, average price ring-on-ring decline of 2.2%, a downward trend in temperature.
 
 
 
“最近看房的确有房主肯还价了,大概20万左右。”这是近一个月来肖冰看房的新发现,但相较于总价,这些议价空间还是杯水车薪:“特别是北京调整公积金政策对我打击很大,原本公积金可以贷款120万,现在只能贷30万,成本顿时上升。”
 
"Recently, the owner of the house is willing to make a counter-offer, about 200 thousand." This is Xiao Bing's new discovery in the past month, but compared with the total price, these bargaining space is still a drop in the bucket: "Especially Beijing adjusts the provident fund policy to hit me very hard, the original provident fund can loan 1.2 million, now can only borrow 300,000, the cost immediately rises."
 

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